Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000540 0.000615 0.000694 0.000784 0.000883 0.000988 0.001109
2026-02-08 0.000409 0.000509 0.000622 0.000760 0.000921 0.001102 0.001321
2026-02-15 0.000338 0.000447 0.000577 0.000741 0.000941 0.001175 0.001467
2026-02-22 0.000290 0.000405 0.000548 0.000736 0.000973 0.001258 0.001624
2026-03-01 0.000254 0.000373 0.000527 0.000734 0.001004 0.001337 0.001775
2026-03-08 0.000222 0.000342 0.000501 0.000724 0.001022 0.001398 0.001903
2026-03-15 0.000194 0.000313 0.000477 0.000712 0.001033 0.001449 0.002018
2026-03-22 0.000180 0.000302 0.000476 0.000730 0.001086 0.001553 0.002203
2026-03-29 0.000166 0.000290 0.000470 0.000741 0.001126 0.001642 0.002370
2026-04-05 0.000148 0.000270 0.000452 0.000732 0.001140 0.001694 0.002488
2026-04-12 0.000133 0.000252 0.000435 0.000725 0.001153 0.001745 0.002605
2026-04-19 0.000123 0.000242 0.000429 0.000732 0.001187 0.001825 0.002763
2026-04-26 0.000112 0.000229 0.000420 0.000732 0.001212 0.001895 0.002909
2026-05-03 0.000098 0.000209 0.000395 0.000710 0.001201 0.001912 0.002982
2026-05-10 0.000086 0.000192 0.000375 0.000692 0.001196 0.001936 0.003065
2026-05-17 0.000078 0.000181 0.000364 0.000687 0.001211 0.001989 0.003191
2026-05-24 0.000071 0.000172 0.000356 0.000686 0.001229 0.002048 0.003326
2026-05-31 0.000064 0.000161 0.000343 0.000676 0.001235 0.002087 0.003431
2026-06-07 0.000057 0.000150 0.000329 0.000664 0.001235 0.002118 0.003525
2026-06-14 0.000054 0.000148 0.000332 0.000682 0.001285 0.002225 0.003734
2026-06-21 0.000051 0.000144 0.000331 0.000692 0.001321 0.002312 0.003916
2026-06-28 0.000046 0.000135 0.000320 0.000684 0.001327 0.002352 0.004026
2026-07-05 0.000042 0.000128 0.000310 0.000676 0.001334 0.002393 0.004138